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Paper · arXiv

Regime-Calibrated Fleet Repositioning with a Spatial Queue-Regret Decomposition

Ride-hailing and autonomous mobility-on-demand operators reposition idle supply before future demand is fully observed. We study a retrieval-calibrated predict-then-optimize approach for this problem: historical demand regimes are matched to the current query block, combined into a calibrated demand prior, and passed to a fleet-balancing controller. The paper makes three contributions. First, we train a leakage-safe similarity gate whose objective penalizes demand error, pickup spatial mismatch, and queue shortage risk rather than retrieval rank alone. Second, we develop a spatial queue-regret decomposition for a stable queueing surrogate, linking demand-field error to wait through queuei...

AuthorsIndar Kumar, Akanksha Tiwari
Primary categorycs.LG
Published4 April 2026
Last updated at source10 May 2026
cs.LGcs.AIeess.SYstat.ML
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