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Towards Intrinsically Calibrated Uncertainty Quantification in Industrial Data-Driven Models via Diffusion Sampler

In modern process industries, data-driven models are important tools for real-time monitoring when key performance indicators are difficult to measure directly. While accurate predictions are essential, reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is equally critical for safety, reliability, and decision-making, but remains a major challenge in current data-driven approaches. In this work, we introduce a diffusion-based posterior sampling framework that inherently produces well-calibrated predictive uncertainty via faithful posterior sampling, eliminating the need for post-hoc calibration. In extensive evaluations on synthetic distributions, the Raman-based phenylacetic acid soft sensor bench...

AuthorsYiran Ma, Jerome Le Ny, Zhichao Chen et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published2 April 2026
Last updated at source2 April 2026
cs.LGeess.SY
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