CircuitProbe: Predicting Reasoning Circuits in Transformers via Stability Zone Detection

Transformer language models contain localized reasoning circuits, contiguous layer blocks that improve reasoning when duplicated at inference time. Finding these circuits currently requires brute-force sweeps costing 25 GPU hours per model. We propose CircuitProbe, which predicts circuit locations from activation statistics in under 5 minutes on CPU, providing a speedup of three to four orders of magnitude. We find that reasoning circuits come in two types: stability circuits in early layers, detected through the derivative of representation change, and magnitude circuits in late layers, detected through anomaly scoring. We validate across 9 models spanning 6 architectures, including 2025...

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