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Paper · arXiv

Interpretable long-term traffic modelling on national road networks using theory-informed deep learning

Long-term traffic modelling is fundamental to transport planning, but existing approaches often trade off interpretability, transferability, and predictive accuracy. Classical travel demand models provide behavioural structure but rely on strong assumptions and extensive calibration, whereas generic deep learning models capture complex patterns but often lack theoretical grounding and spatial transferability, limiting their usefulness for long-term planning applications. We propose DeepDemand, a theory-informed deep learning framework that embeds key components of travel demand theory to predict long-term highway traffic volumes using external socioeconomic features and road-network struc...

AuthorsYue Li, Shujuan Chen, Akihiro Shimoda et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published27 March 2026
Last updated at source27 March 2026
cs.LGcs.CE
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