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Paper · arXiv

When Is Collective Intelligence a Lottery? Multi-Agent Scaling Laws for Memetic Drift in LLMs

Multi-agent systems powered by large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in settings that shape consequential decisions, both directly and indirectly. Yet it remains unclear whether their outcomes reflect collective reasoning, systematic bias, or mere chance. Recent work has sharpened this question with naming games, showing that even when no individual agent favors any label a priori, populations rapidly break symmetry and reach consensus. Here, we reveal the mechanism by introducing a minimal model, Quantized Simplex Gossip (QSG), and trace the microscopic origin of this agreement to mutual in-context learning. In QSG, agents maintain internal belief states but learn from o...

AuthorsHidenori Tanaka
Primary categorycs.AI
Published25 March 2026
Last updated at source25 March 2026
cs.AIcond-mat.dis-nncond-mat.stat-mechphysics.bio-phphysics.soc-ph
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