When Annotators Agree but Labels Disagree: The Projection Problem in Stance Detection

Stance detection is nearly always formulated as classifying text into Favor, Against, or Neutral. This convention was inherited from debate analysis and has been applied without modification to social media since SemEval-2016. However, attitudes toward complex targets are not unitary. A person can accept climate science while opposing carbon taxes, expressing support on one dimension and opposition on another. When annotators must compress such multi-dimensional attitudes into a single label, different annotators may weight different dimensions, producing disagreement that reflects different compression choices rather than confusion. We call this the projection problem. We conduct an anno...

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