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Paper · arXiv

Causal Reconstruction of Sentiment Signals from Sparse News Data

Sentiment signals derived from sparse news are commonly used in financial analysis and technology monitoring, yet transforming raw article-level observations into reliable temporal series remains a largely unsolved engineering problem. Rather than treating this as a classification challenge, we propose to frame it as a causal signal reconstruction problem: given probabilistic sentiment outputs from a fixed classifier, recover a stable latent sentiment series that is robust to the structural pathologies of news data such as sparsity, redundancy, and classifier uncertainty. We present a modular three-stage pipeline that (i) aggregates article-level scores onto a regular temporal grid with u...

AuthorsStefania Stan, Marzio Lunghi, Vito Vargetto et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published24 March 2026
Last updated at source24 March 2026
cs.LGstat.ML
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