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Paper · arXiv

From Causal Discovery to Dynamic Causal Inference in Neural Time Series

Time-varying causal models provide a powerful framework for studying dynamic scientific systems, yet most existing approaches assume that the underlying causal network is known a priori - an assumption rarely satisfied in real-world domains where causal structure is uncertain, evolving, or only indirectly observable. This limits the applicability of dynamic causal inference in many scientific settings. We propose Dynamic Causal Network Autoregression (DCNAR), a two-stage neural causal modeling framework that integrates data-driven causal discovery with time-varying causal inference. In the first stage, a neural autoregressive causal discovery model learns a sparse directed causal network ...

AuthorsDmitry Zaytsev, Valentina Kuskova, Michael Coppedge
Primary categorycs.LG
Published21 March 2026
Last updated at source4 June 2026
cs.LGcs.AIstat.APstat.ML
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