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Paper · arXiv

HEP Statistical Inference for UAV Fault Detection: CLs, LRT, and SBI Applied to Blade Damage

This paper transfers three statistical methods from particle physics to multirotor propeller fault detection: the likelihood ratio test (LRT) for binary detection, the CLs modified frequentist method for false alarm rate control, and sequential neural posterior estimation (SNPE) for quantitative fault characterization. Operating on spectral features tied to rotor harmonic physics, the system returns three outputs: binary detection, controlled false alarm rates, and calibrated posteriors over fault severity and motor location. On UAV-FD, a hexarotor dataset of 18 real flights with 5% and 10% blade damage, leave-one-flight-out cross-validation gives AUC 0.862 +/- 0.007 (95% CI: 0.849--0.876...

AuthorsKhushiyant
Primary categorycs.LG
Published19 March 2026
Last updated at source19 March 2026
cs.LGcs.ROeess.SY
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