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Paper · arXiv

Predictive Statistics Shape Emergent World Representations of Grid Walkers

Next-token predictors often appear to develop internal representations of the latent world and its rules. The probabilistic nature of these models suggests a deep connection between the structure of the world and the geometry of probability distributions. In order to understand this link more precisely, we use a minimal stochastic process as a controlled setting: constrained random walks on a two-dimensional lattice that must reach a fixed endpoint after a predetermined number of steps. Optimal prediction of this process solely depends on a sufficient vector determined by the walker's position relative to the target and the remaining time horizon; in other words, the probability distribut...

AuthorsSasha Brenner, Thomas R. Knösche, Nico Scherf
Primary categorycs.LG
Published17 March 2026
Last updated at source5 June 2026
cs.LG
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