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Paper · arXiv

Auto Researching, not hyperparameter tuning: Convergence Analysis of 10,000 Experiments

When LLM agents autonomously design ML experiments, do they perform genuine architecture search -- or do they default to hyperparameter tuning within a narrow region of the design space? We answer this question by analyzing 10,469 experiments executed by two LLM agents (Claude Opus and Gemini 2.5 Pro) across a combinatorial configuration space of 108,000 discrete cells for dashcam collision detection over 27 days. Through ANOVA decomposition, we find that \textbf{architectural choices explain 94\% of performance variance} ($F = 1324$, $η^2 = 0.94$), while hyperparameter variation within a fixed architecture explains only 6\%. Cross-task validation on a second collision dataset confirms th...

AuthorsXiaoyi Li
Primary categorycs.LG
Published16 March 2026
Last updated at source16 March 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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