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Paper · arXiv

Overcoming the Modality Gap in Context-Aided Forecasting

Context-aided forecasting (CAF) holds promise for integrating domain knowledge and forward-looking information, enabling AI systems to surpass traditional statistical methods. However, recent empirical studies reveal a puzzling gap: multimodal models often fail to outperform their unimodal counterparts. We hypothesize that this underperformance stems from poor context quality in existing datasets, as verification is challenging. To address these limitations, we introduce a semi-synthetic data augmentation method that generates contexts both descriptive of temporal dynamics and verifiably complementary to numerical histories. This approach enables massive-scale dataset creation, resulting ...

AuthorsVincent Zhihao Zheng, Étienne Marcotte, Arjun Ashok et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published12 March 2026
Last updated at source15 July 2026
cs.LG
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