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Paper · arXiv

CAETC: Causal Autoencoding and Treatment Conditioning for Counterfactual Estimation over Time

Counterfactual estimation over time is important in various applications, such as personalized medicine. However, time-dependent confounding bias in observational data still poses a significant challenge in achieving accurate and efficient estimation. We introduce causal autoencoding and treatment conditioning (CAETC), a novel method for this problem. Built on adversarial representation learning, our method leverages an autoencoding architecture to learn a partially invertible and treatment-invariant representation, where the outcome prediction task is cast as applying a treatment-specific conditioning on the representation. Our design is independent of the underlying sequence model and c...

AuthorsNghia D. Nguyen, Pablo Robles-Granda, Lav R. Varshney
Primary categorycs.LG
Published12 March 2026
Last updated at source12 March 2026
cs.LG
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