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Paper · arXiv

Jailbreak Scaling Laws for Large Language Models: Polynomial-Exponential Crossover

Adversarial attacks can reliably steer safety-aligned large language models toward unsafe behavior. Empirically, we find that adversarial prompt-injection attacks can amplify attack success rate from the slow polynomial growth observed without injection to exponential growth with the number of inference-time samples. We first identify a minimal statistical mechanism for these two regimes by giving a small set of assumptions on the distribution of safe generation across contexts under which both scaling laws follow. To explain this phenomenon further, we propose a theoretical generative model of proxy language in terms of a spin-glass system operating in a replica-symmetry-breaking regime,...

AuthorsIndranil Halder, Annesya Banerjee, Cengiz Pehlevan
Primary categorycs.LG
Published11 March 2026
Last updated at source8 October 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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