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Paper · arXiv

Measuring AI Agents' Progress on Multi-Step Cyber Attack Scenarios

We evaluate the autonomous cyber-attack capabilities of frontier AI models on two purpose-built cyber ranges-a 32-step corporate network attack and a 7-step industrial control system attack-that require chaining heterogeneous capabilities across extended action sequences. By comparing seven models released over an eighteen-month period (August 2024 to February 2026) at varying inference-time compute budgets, we observe two capability trends. First, model performance scales log-linearly with inference-time compute, with no observed plateau-increasing from 10M to 100M tokens yields gains of up to 59%, requiring no specific technical sophistication from the operator. Second, each successive ...

AuthorsLinus Folkerts, Will Payne, Simon Inman et al.
Primary categorycs.AI
Published11 March 2026
Last updated at source17 March 2026
cs.AIcs.LG
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