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Paper · arXiv

CUPID: A Plug-in Framework for Joint Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty Estimation with a Single Model

Accurate estimation of uncertainty in deep learning is critical for deploying models in high-stakes domains such as medical diagnosis and autonomous decision-making, where overconfident predictions can lead to harmful outcomes. In practice, understanding the reason behind a model's uncertainty and the type of uncertainty it represents can support risk-aware decisions, enhance user trust, and guide additional data collection. However, many existing methods only address a single type of uncertainty or require modifications and retraining of the base model, making them difficult to adopt in real-world systems. We introduce CUPID (Comprehensive Uncertainty Plug-in estImation moDel), a general...

AuthorsXinran Xu, Xiuyi Fan
Primary categorycs.LG
Published11 March 2026
Last updated at source11 March 2026
cs.LGcs.AI
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