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Paper · arXiv

Beyond Data Splitting: Full-Data Conformal Prediction by Differential Privacy

Privacy protection and uncertainty quantification are increasingly important in data-driven decision making. Conformal prediction provides finite-sample marginal coverage, but existing private approaches often rely on data splitting, reducing the effective sample size. We propose a full-data privacy-preserving conformal prediction framework that avoids splitting. Our framework leverages stability induced by differential privacy to control the gap between in-sample and out-of-sample conformal scores, and pairs this with a conservative private quantile routine designed to prevent under-coverage. We show that a generic differential privacy guarantee yields a universal coverage floor, yet can...

AuthorsYoung Hyun Cho, Jordan Awan
Primary categorystat.ML
Published8 March 2026
Last updated at source8 March 2026
stat.MLcs.LG
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