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Paper · arXiv

Believe Your Model: Distribution-Guided Confidence Calibration

Large Reasoning Models have demonstrated remarkable performance with the advancement of test-time scaling techniques, which enhances prediction accuracy by generating multiple candidate responses and selecting the most reliable answer. While prior work has analyzed that internal model signals like confidence scores can partly indicate response correctness and exhibit a distributional correlation with accuracy, such distributional information has not been fully utilized to guide answer selection. Motivated by this, we propose DistriVoting, which incorporates distributional priors as another signal alongside confidence during voting. Specifically, our method (1) first decomposes the mixed c...

AuthorsXizhong Yang, Haotian Zhang, Huiming Wang et al.
Primary categorycs.LG
Published4 March 2026
Last updated at source4 March 2026
cs.LG
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