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De-paradox Tree: Breaking Down Simpson's Paradox via A Kernel-Based Partition Algorithm

Real-world observational datasets and machine learning have revolutionized data-driven decision-making, yet many models rely on empirical associations that may be misleading due to confounding and subgroup heterogeneity. Simpson's paradox exemplifies this challenge, where aggregated and subgroup-level associations contradict each other, leading to misleading conclusions. Existing methods provide limited support for detecting and interpreting such paradoxical associations, especially for practitioners without deep causal expertise. We introduce De-paradox Tree, an interpretable algorithm designed to uncover hidden subgroup patterns behind paradoxical associations under assumed causal struc...

AuthorsXian Teng, Yu-Ru Lin
Primary categorycs.LG
Published2 March 2026
Last updated at source2 March 2026
cs.LG
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