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Paper · arXiv

Robust Weighted Triangulation of Causal Effects Under Model Uncertainty

A fundamental challenge in causal inference with observational data is correct specification of a causal model. When there is model uncertainty, analysts may seek to use estimates from multiple candidate models that rely on distinct, and possibly partially overlapping, sets of identifying assumptions to infer the causal effect, a process known as triangulation. Principled methods for triangulation, however, remain underdeveloped. Here, we develop a framework for causal effect triangulation that combines model testability methods from causal discovery with statistical inference methods from semiparametric theory, while avoiding explicit model selection and post-selection inference problems...

AuthorsRohit Bhattacharya, Ina Ocelli, Ted Westling
Primary categorystat.ME
Published1 March 2026
Last updated at source8 July 2026
stat.MEcs.AI
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