Dataset · Hugging Face

ezra77/llm-forecast-calibration

Name: llm-forecast-calibration
Creator: ezra77
License: other
Keywords: task_categories:question-answering, language:en, license:other, size_categories:1K<n<10K, format:json, modality:tabular, modality:text, library:datasets, library:pandas, library:polars, library:mlcroissant, region:us, llm-evaluation, calibration, forecasting

LLM Forecast Calibration Study — GLM-5.3 on resolved Manifold Markets questions Raw generation data for the study "Does sampling K times beat thinking harder? A controlled study of LLM forecast calibration on resolved binary questions." Source repo: EzraStone/llm-forecast-calibration. Data mirrored from GitHub commit 0f12f71a2c2ec8c54cafeb4231fecb87e705e660. All eight JSONL files match the source data byte for byte. The source repository remains canonical for analysis code… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/ezra77/llm-forecast-calibration.

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Author / organization	ezra77
License (as declared)	other
Downloads	134 (as reported by Hugging Face)
Likes	0
Created	15 September 2026
Last updated at source	15 September 2026

llm-evaluationcalibrationforecastingbrier-scoreuncertainty-quantificationreproducible-research

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