SimpleFunctions/calibration-scorecards

Prediction Market Calibration Scorecards Monthly Brier + log-loss calibration breakdowns for Kalshi + Polymarket. Each month provides mean Brier, mean log-loss, per-venue and per-category breakdowns, and a 10-bucket calibration histogram (actual vs predicted). Published with a 14-day delay after month-end to capture late resolutions. License and Use This dataset is released under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC-BY-4.0;… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/SimpleFunctions/calibration-scorecards.

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