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CDLIai/tr-ongoru-bench

TR-Öngörü Bench TR-Öngörü Bench measures how well a model forecasts real, resolvable events about Türkiye: bills in the parliament, Resmi Gazete publication timing, central bank decisions, inflation surprises and a USD/TRY control task. Every question is asked in Turkish at a fixed moment (as_of) and resolves from a public record by a written rule. It is the standard evaluation for CDLI's ULAK models and the way we compare them with frontier LLMs. This repository is a demo: the… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/CDLIai/tr-ongoru-bench.

Author / organizationCDLIai
License (as declared)other
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Created19 October 2026
Last updated at source19 October 2026
turkishforecastingprobabilitycalibrationbenchmarkcdli
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