BTF-2/BTF-3

Bench to the Future 3 (BTF-3) 1,783 pastcasting questions — 1,471 binary ("yes/no") and 312 numeric (value-estimation) — with a state-of-the-art forecast, ground-truth resolution, and a human-verifiable resolution explanation for every question. Designed for reproducible evaluation of forecasting agents without hindsight bias or web-data leakage. BTF-3 questions were anchored to a present date in late April–late May 2026 and resolved between mid-May and early July 2026. It… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/BTF-2/BTF-3.

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